Urteil unter Unsicherheit: Heuristiken und Vorurteile von Kahneman
US $21,76US $21,76
Mi, 15. Okt, 22:54Mi, 15. Okt, 22:54
Bild 1 von 1
Galerie
Bild 1 von 1
Ähnlichen Artikel verkaufen?
Urteil unter Unsicherheit: Heuristiken und Vorurteile von Kahneman-
US $21,76
Ca.EUR 18,67
Preisvorschlag akzeptiert
oder Preisvorschlag
Artikelzustand:
Neu
Neues, ungelesenes, ungebrauchtes Buch in makellosem Zustand ohne fehlende oder beschädigte Seiten. Genauere Einzelheiten entnehmen Sie bitte dem Angebot des Verkäufers.
Oops! Looks like we're having trouble connecting to our server.
Refresh your browser window to try again.
Versand:
US $6,95 (ca. EUR 5,96) USPS Ground Advantage®.
Standort: San Francisco, California, USA
Lieferung:
Lieferung zwischen Mi, 22. Okt und Fr, 24. Okt nach 94104 bei heutigem Zahlungseingang
Rücknahme:
14 Tage Rückgabe. Käufer zahlt Rückversand. Wenn Sie ein eBay-Versandetikett verwenden, werden die Kosten dafür von Ihrer Rückerstattung abgezogen.
Zahlungen:
Sicher einkaufen
Der Verkäufer ist für dieses Angebot verantwortlich.
eBay-Artikelnr.:356779233742
Artikelmerkmale
- Artikelzustand
- Book Title
- Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
- Topic
- Psychology & Counseling
- Narrative Type
- Psychology & Counseling
- Genre
- N/A
- Intended Audience
- N/A
- ISBN
- 9780521284141
Über dieses Produkt
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Cambridge University Press
ISBN-10
0521284147
ISBN-13
9780521284141
eBay Product ID (ePID)
950515
Product Key Features
Number of Pages
544 Pages
Language
English
Publication Name
Judgment under Uncertainty : Heuristics and Biases
Subject
Discrimination & Race Relations, Cognitive Psychology & Cognition
Publication Year
1982
Type
Textbook
Subject Area
Social Science, Psychology
Format
Trade Paperback
Dimensions
Item Height
1.1 in
Item Weight
28.7 Oz
Item Length
9 in
Item Width
5.9 in
Additional Product Features
Intended Audience
Scholarly & Professional
LCCN
81-010042
Dewey Edition
19
Reviews
"The papers chosen for this volume are an excellent collection, generally well-written and fascinating." Journal of Economic Literature, "The examples are lively, the style is engaging, and it is as entertaining as it is enlightening." Times Literary Supplement, "...a good collection of papers on an important topic." Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, "The examples are lively, the style is engaging, and it is as entertaining as it is enlightening."Times Literary Supplement, "Clearly, this is an important book. Anyone who undertakes judgment and decision research should own it." Contemporary Psychology
Illustrated
Yes
Dewey Decimal
153.4/6
Table Of Content
Preface; Part I. Introduction: 1. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman; Part II. Representativeness: 2. Belief in the law of small numbers Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman; 3. Subjective probability: a judgment of representativeness Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky; 4. On the psychology of presiction Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky; 5. Studies of representativeness Maya Bar-Hillel; 6. Judgments of and by representativeness Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman; Part III. Causality and Attribution: 7. Popular induction: information is not necessarily informative Richard E. Nisbett, Eugene Borgida, Rick Crandall and Harvey Reed; 8. Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman; 9. Shortcomings in the attribution process: on the origins and maintenance of erroneous social assessments Lee Ross and Craig A. Anderson; 10. Evidential impact of base rates Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman; Part IV. Availability: 11. Availability: a heuristic for judging frequency and probability Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman; 12. Egocentric biases in availability and attribution Michael Ross and Fiore Sicoly; 13. The availability bias in social perception and interaction Shelley E. Taylor; 14. The simulation heuristic Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky; Part V. Covariation and Control: 15. Informal covariation asssessment: data-based versus theory-based judgments Dennis L. Jennings, Teresa M. Amabile and Lee Ross; 16. The illusion of control Ellen J. Langer; 17. Test results are what you think they are Loren J. Chapman and Jean Chapman; 18. Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine: problems and opportunities David M. Eddy; 19. Learning from experience and suboptimal rules in decision making Hillel J. Einhorn; Part VI. Overconfidence: 20. Overconfidence in case-study judgments Stuart Oskamp; 21. A progress report on the training of probability assessors Marc Alpert and Howard Raiffa; 22. Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980 Sarah Lichtenstein, Baruch Fischhoff and Lawrence D. Phillips; 23. For those condemned to study the past: heuristics and biases in hindsight Baruch Fischhoff; Part VII. Multistage Evaluation: 24. Evaluation of compound probabilities in sequential choice John Cohen, E. I. Chesnick and D. Haran; 25. Conservatism in human information processing Ward Edwards; 26. The best-guess hypothesis in multistage inference Charles F. Gettys, Clinton Kelly III and Cameron R. Peterson; 27. Inferences of personal characteristics on the basis of information retrieved from one's memory Yaacov Trope; Part VIII. Corrective Procedures: 28. The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making Robyn M. Dawes; 29. The vitality of mythical numbers Max Singer; 30. Intuitive prediction: biases and corrective procedures Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky; 31. Debiasing Baruch Fischhoff; 32. Improving inductive inference Richard E. Nesbett, David H. Krantz, Christopher Jepson and Geoffrey T. Fong; Part IX. Risk Perception: 33. Facts versus fears: understanding perceived risk Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff and Sarah Lichtenstein; Part X. Postscript: 34. On the study of statistical intuitions Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky; 35. Variants of uncertainty Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky; References; Index.
Synopsis
The thirty-five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Individual chapters discuss the representativeness and availability heuristics, problems in judging covariation and control, overconfidence, multistage inference, social perception, medical diagnosis, risk perception, and methods for correcting and improving judgments under uncertainty. About half of the chapters are edited versions of classic articles; the remaining chapters are newly written for this book. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas of research and application rather than describing single experimental studies. This book will be useful to a wide range of students and researchers, as well as to decision makers seeking to gain insight into their judgments and to improve them., The thirty-five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well.
LC Classification Number
BF441 .J8 1982
Artikelbeschreibung des Verkäufers
Rechtliche Informationen des Verkäufers
Info zu diesem Verkäufer
amcooperband
100% positive Bewertungen•264 Artikel verkauft
Angemeldet als gewerblicher Verkäufer
Verkäuferbewertungen (120)
- o***c (327)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzte 6 MonateBestätigter KaufI purchased a Fantastic Four comic book from amcooperband. Great packaging, my comic arrived safely and in great condition. The comic’s condition was as described in the listing. Pricing was good. I am pleased with my transaction and will do business again.Fantastic Four Marvel Comics Comic Book Silver Age 57 #57 (Nr. 356985414848)
- a***n (372)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzte 6 MonateBestätigter KaufAs described, fast ship, solid packaging, great communication! A+++ Beautiful books! Couldn't be happier! This guy knows ebay!!Fantastic Four Marvel Comics Comic Book lot set Bronze Age (Nr. 356892326249)
- 1***3 (242)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzte 6 MonateBestätigter KaufTop notch seller! Fast shipping great packaging! Items always as described or better! Buy with confidence!Team-Up Premier Two-In-One Feature Marvel Comics Comic Book lot set Bronze Age (Nr. 356891976811)
Verkäuferbewertungen (120)
- o***c (327)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzte 6 MonateBestätigter KaufI purchased a Fantastic Four comic book from amcooperband. Great packaging, my comic arrived safely and in great condition. The comic’s condition was as described in the listing. Pricing was good. I am pleased with my transaction and will do business again.Fantastic Four Marvel Comics Comic Book Silver Age 57 #57 (Nr. 356985414848)
- a***n (372)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzte 6 MonateBestätigter KaufAs described, fast ship, solid packaging, great communication! A+++ Beautiful books! Couldn't be happier! This guy knows ebay!!Fantastic Four Marvel Comics Comic Book lot set Bronze Age (Nr. 356892326249)
- 1***3 (242)- Bewertung vom Käufer.Letzte 6 MonateBestätigter KaufTop notch seller! Fast shipping great packaging! Items always as described or better! Buy with confidence!Team-Up Premier Two-In-One Feature Marvel Comics Comic Book lot set Bronze Age (Nr. 356891976811)